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Tuesday, August 09, 2005

Laugh about the economy

This is the kind of post that make laugh, although I agree:

When should we start being really scared?

As an non-economist, when should we start being scared?

  1. We have a household savings rate of 0%.
  2. Huge deficits in both current account and government, to the tune of several hundred billion a year.
  3. A spookily-flat yield curve (my bank will loan me at <6% for 30 years, but will borrow from me at ~3.8% for just 9 months!), which says that some huge amount of long term money is amazingly optimistic.
  4. A real-estate market in areas that is so horribly bubbled that tax-adjusted interest, property tax, and HOA/maintinence is vastly more (30%+) than rent.
  5. and a government in total denial.
  6. When should us normals start being really, REALLY scared? As Kent Brockman asks on the Simpsons: "Is now the time to panic?"


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